Drayton Valley-Devon

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, UCP would hold Drayton Valley-Devon, with 64.8% to 28.0%. That is very likely (100% of simulated elections).

UCP73.7% → 64.8%
NDP22.3% → 28.0%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: UCP by 36.8 points (2023: UCP by 51.4). UCP win Drayton Valley-Devon if their lead province-wide is more than about −34.7 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Drayton Valley-Devon changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Rest of Alberta polling

Drayton Valley-Devon is projected from the Rest of Alberta poll average: UCP 58.4%, NDP 33.3%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202658%33%

This is a model, not a poll of Drayton Valley-Devon: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Rest of Alberta polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

Andrew Boitchenko (UCP) won Drayton Valley-Devon in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 73.7% of the vote, 11,523 votes (51.4 points) ahead of Harry Singh (NDP). 22,431 valid votes were counted; turnout was 63.3%.

Andrew Boitchenko
Elected for United Conservative
11,523 voteswinning margin (51.4 points)
Andrew Boitchenko 73.7%Harry Singh 22.3%Jon Hokanson 2.6%Dale Withers 0.8%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Drayton Valley-Devon 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Andrew BoitchenkoelectedUnited Conservative16,532
73.7%
Harry SinghNew Democratic5,009
22.3%
Jon HokansonWildrose Loyalty Coalition580
2.6%
Dale WithersAdvantage Party189
0.8%
Gail TookeySolidarity Movement121
0.5%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 84th-closest race of 87 divisions: a margin of 11,523 votes (51.4 points).
  • United Conservative candidates won 52.6% of the vote across Alberta; Andrew Boitchenko took 73.7% here, 21.1 points above that.
  • Turnout was 63.3%, 2.8 points above the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 35,643 electors were registered; 120 ballots were rejected and 11 were declined.

Nearby divisions