Edmonton-Whitemud

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, NDP would hold Edmonton-Whitemud, with 56.3% to 32.5%. That is very likely (99% of simulated elections).

UCP36.8% → 32.5%
NDP60.4% → 56.3%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: NDP by 23.8 points (2023: NDP by 23.6). UCP win Edmonton-Whitemud if their lead province-wide is more than about +25.9 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Edmonton-Whitemud changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Edmonton polling

Edmonton-Whitemud is projected from the Edmonton poll average: UCP 35.8%, NDP 52.6%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202653%36%

This is a model, not a poll of Edmonton-Whitemud: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Edmonton polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

Rakhi Pancholi (NDP) won Edmonton-Whitemud in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 60.4% of the vote, 4,998 votes (23.6 points) ahead of Raj Sherman (UCP). 21,187 valid votes were counted; turnout was 65%.

Rakhi Pancholi
Elected for New Democratic
4,998 voteswinning margin (23.6 points)
Rakhi Pancholi 60.4%Raj Sherman 36.8%Donna Wilson 1.7%Cheri Hawley 1%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Edmonton-Whitemud 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rakhi PancholielectedNew Democratic12,797
60.4%
Raj ShermanUnited Conservative7,799
36.8%
Donna WilsonLiberal370
1.7%
Cheri HawleyGreen221
1%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 50th-closest race of 87 divisions: a margin of 4,998 votes (23.6 points).
  • New Democratic candidates won 44% of the vote across Alberta; Rakhi Pancholi took 60.4% here, 16.4 points above that.
  • Turnout was 65%, 4.5 points above the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 32,841 electors were registered; 147 ballots were rejected and 5 were declined.

Nearby divisions