Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, UCP would hold Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills, with 66.4% to 24.4%. That is very likely (100% of simulated elections).

UCP75.3% → 66.4%
NDP18.8% → 24.4%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: UCP by 42.0 points (2023: UCP by 56.5). UCP win Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills if their lead province-wide is more than about −39.9 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Rest of Alberta polling

Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills is projected from the Rest of Alberta poll average: UCP 58.4%, NDP 33.3%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202658%33%

This is a model, not a poll of Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Rest of Alberta polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

Nathan Cooper (UCP) won Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 75.3% of the vote, 13,675 votes (56.5 points) ahead of Cheryl Hunter Loewen (NDP). 24,209 valid votes were counted; turnout was 63.8%.

Nathan Cooper
Elected for United Conservative
13,675 voteswinning margin (56.5 points)
Nathan Cooper 75.3%Cheryl Hunter Loewen 18.8%Katherine Kowalchuk 4.7%Cam Tatlock 0.8%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Nathan CooperelectedUnited Conservative18,228
75.3%
Cheryl Hunter LoewenNew Democratic4,553
18.8%
Katherine KowalchukIndependence Party1,140
4.7%
Cam TatlockWildrose Loyalty Coalition183
0.8%
Judy BridgesSolidarity Movement105
0.4%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The widest margin in Alberta: Nathan Cooper won by 13,675 votes (56.5 points).
  • United Conservative candidates won 52.6% of the vote across Alberta; Nathan Cooper took 75.3% here, 22.7 points above that.
  • Turnout was 63.8%, 3.3 points above the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 38,173 electors were registered; 115 ballots were rejected and 23 were declined.

Nearby divisions