Calgary-Currie

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, NDP would hold Calgary-Currie, with 53.7% to 35.5%. That is very likely (94% of simulated elections).

UCP41.0% → 35.5%
NDP54.8% → 53.7%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: NDP by 18.2 points (2023: NDP by 13.8). UCP win Calgary-Currie if their lead province-wide is more than about +20.3 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Calgary-Currie changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Calgary polling

Calgary-Currie is projected from the Calgary poll average: UCP 44.8%, NDP 45.9%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202646%45%

This is a model, not a poll of Calgary-Currie: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Calgary polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

Janet Eremenko (NDP) won Calgary-Currie in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 54.8% of the vote, 3,080 votes (13.8 points) ahead of Nicholas Milliken (UCP). 22,372 valid votes were counted; turnout was 63.8%.

Janet Eremenko
Elected for New Democratic
3,080 voteswinning margin (13.8 points)
Janet Eremenko 54.8%Nicholas Milliken 41%Jason Avramenko 1.8%Lane Robson 1%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Calgary-Currie 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Janet EremenkoelectedNew Democratic12,261
54.8%
Nicholas MillikenUnited Conservative9,181
41%
Jason AvramenkoAlberta Party409
1.8%
Lane RobsonGreen222
1%
Leila KeithLiberal216
1%
Dawid PawlowskiSolidarity Movement83
0.4%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 30th-closest race of 87 divisions: a margin of 3,080 votes (13.8 points).
  • New Democratic candidates won 44% of the vote across Alberta; Janet Eremenko took 54.8% here, 10.8 points above that.
  • Turnout was 63.8%, 3.3 points above the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 35,379 electors were registered; 191 ballots were rejected and 7 were declined.

Nearby divisions