Highwood

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, UCP would hold Highwood, with 60.0% to 34.5%. That is very likely (99% of simulated elections).

UCP68.9% → 60.0%
NDP28.9% → 34.5%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: UCP by 25.5 points (2023: UCP by 40.0). UCP win Highwood if their lead province-wide is more than about −23.4 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Highwood changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Rest of Alberta polling

Highwood is projected from the Rest of Alberta poll average: UCP 58.4%, NDP 33.3%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202658%33%

This is a model, not a poll of Highwood: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Rest of Alberta polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

R.J. Sigurdson (UCP) won Highwood in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 68.9% of the vote, 10,450 votes (40 points) ahead of Jessica Hallam (NDP). 26,110 valid votes were counted; turnout was 67.5%.

R.J. Sigurdson
Elected for United Conservative
10,450 voteswinning margin (40 points)
R.J. Sigurdson 68.9%Jessica Hallam 28.9%Mike Lorusso 2.2%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Highwood 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
R.J. SigurdsonelectedUnited Conservative17,990
68.9%
Jessica HallamNew Democratic7,540
28.9%
Mike LorussoWildrose Independence580
2.2%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 80th-closest race of 87 divisions: a margin of 10,450 votes (40 points).
  • United Conservative candidates won 52.6% of the vote across Alberta; R.J. Sigurdson took 68.9% here, 16.3 points above that.
  • Turnout was 67.5%, 7 points above the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 39,009 electors were registered; 183 ballots were rejected and 21 were declined.

Nearby divisions