Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, NDP would hold Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood, with 67.4% to 20.9%. That is very likely (100% of simulated elections).

UCP25.2% → 20.9%
NDP71.5% → 67.4%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: NDP by 46.5 points (2023: NDP by 46.2). UCP win Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood if their lead province-wide is more than about +48.6 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Edmonton polling

Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood is projected from the Edmonton poll average: UCP 35.8%, NDP 52.6%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202653%36%

This is a model, not a poll of Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Edmonton polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

Janis Irwin (NDP) won Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 71.5% of the vote, 6,141 votes (46.2 points) ahead of Nick Kalynchuk (UCP). 13,282 valid votes were counted; turnout was 46.3%.

Janis Irwin
Elected for New Democratic
6,141 voteswinning margin (46.2 points)
Janis Irwin 71.5%Nick Kalynchuk 25.2%Kristine Kowalchuk 2.6%Naomi Rankin 0.8%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Janis IrwinelectedNew Democratic9,491
71.5%
Nick KalynchukUnited Conservative3,350
25.2%
Kristine KowalchukGreen339
2.6%
Naomi RankinCommunist102
0.8%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 57th-closest race of 87 divisions: a margin of 6,141 votes (46.2 points).
  • New Democratic candidates won 44% of the vote across Alberta; Janis Irwin took 71.5% here, 27.5 points above that.
  • Turnout was 46.3%, 14.2 points below the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 29,003 electors were registered; 118 ballots were rejected and 15 were declined.

Nearby divisions