North Vancouver-Seymour

Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, NDP would hold North Vancouver-Seymour, with 43.9% to 35.4%. That is likely (77% of simulated elections).

Conservatives35.8% → 35.4%
NDP52.8% → 43.9%

Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: NDP by 8.4 points (2024: NDP by 17.0). Conservatives win North Vancouver-Seymour if their lead province-wide is more than about +11.7 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereConservatives win here2024 result (−1.6)Poll average (+3.3)

Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where North Vancouver-Seymour changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Metro Vancouver polling

North Vancouver-Seymour is projected from the Metro Vancouver poll average: Conservatives 39.9%, NDP 41.7%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%42%40%

This is a model, not a poll of North Vancouver-Seymour: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Metro Vancouver polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2024 election results

Susie Chant (NDP) won North Vancouver-Seymour in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 52.8% of the vote, 5,215 votes (17 points) ahead of Sam Chandola (CON). 30,721 valid votes were counted.

Susie Chant
Elected for New Democratic
5,215 voteswinning margin (17 points)
Susie Chant 52.8%Sam Chandola 35.8%Mitchell Baker 5.8%Subhadarshi Tripathy 5.6%

British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.

Results by candidate

North Vancouver-Seymour 2024 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Susie ChantelectedNew Democratic16,210
52.8%
Sam ChandolaConservative10,995
35.8%
Mitchell BakerIndependent1,794
5.8%
Subhadarshi TripathyGreen1,722
5.6%

Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 71st-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 5,215 votes (17 points).
  • New Democratic candidates won 44.9% of the vote across British Columbia; Susie Chant took 52.8% here, 7.9 points above that.

Nearby ridings