West Vancouver-Capilano

Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, Conservatives would hold West Vancouver-Capilano, with 46.3% to 18.3%. That is very likely (99% of simulated elections).

Conservatives46.7% → 46.3%
NDP27.1% → 18.3%

Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: Conservatives by 28.1 points (2024: Conservatives by 19.5). Conservatives win West Vancouver-Capilano if their lead province-wide is more than about −24.8 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereConservatives win here2024 result (−1.6)Poll average (+3.3)

Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where West Vancouver-Capilano changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Metro Vancouver polling

West Vancouver-Capilano is projected from the Metro Vancouver poll average: Conservatives 39.9%, NDP 41.7%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%42%40%

This is a model, not a poll of West Vancouver-Capilano: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Metro Vancouver polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2024 election results

Lynne Block (CON) won West Vancouver-Capilano in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 46.7% of the vote, 5,043 votes (19.5 points) ahead of Sara Eftekhar (NDP). 25,816 valid votes were counted.

Lynne Block
Elected for Conservative
5,043 voteswinning margin (19.5 points)
Lynne Block 46.7%Sara Eftekhar 27.1%Karin Kirkpatrick 20.6%Archie Kaario 5.6%

British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.

Results by candidate

West Vancouver-Capilano 2024 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Lynne BlockelectedConservative12,049
46.7%
Sara EftekharNew Democratic7,006
27.1%
Karin KirkpatrickIndependent5,326
20.6%
Archie KaarioGreen1,435
5.6%

Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 69th-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 5,043 votes (19.5 points).
  • Conservative candidates won 43.3% of the vote across British Columbia; Lynne Block took 46.7% here, 3.4 points above that.

Nearby ridings