Langley-Willowbrook

Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, Conservatives would hold Langley-Willowbrook, with 47.9% to 35.6%. That is likely (86% of simulated elections).

Conservatives48.2% → 47.9%
NDP44.4% → 35.6%

Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: Conservatives by 12.3 points (2024: Conservatives by 3.8). Conservatives win Langley-Willowbrook if their lead province-wide is more than about −9.0 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereConservatives win here2024 result (−1.6)Poll average (+3.3)

Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where Langley-Willowbrook changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Metro Vancouver polling

Langley-Willowbrook is projected from the Metro Vancouver poll average: Conservatives 39.9%, NDP 41.7%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%42%40%

This is a model, not a poll of Langley-Willowbrook: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Metro Vancouver polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2024 election results

Jody Toor (CON) won Langley-Willowbrook in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 48.2% of the vote, 867 votes (3.8 points) ahead of Andrew Mercier (NDP). 22,761 valid votes were counted.

Jody Toor
Elected for Conservative
867 voteswinning margin (3.8 points)
Jody Toor 48.2%Andrew Mercier 44.4%Petrina Arnason 7.3%

British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.

Results by candidate

Langley-Willowbrook 2024 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jody ToorelectedConservative10,979
48.2%
Andrew MercierNew Democratic10,112
44.4%
Petrina ArnasonGreen1,670
7.3%

Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 21st-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 867 votes (3.8 points).
  • Conservative candidates won 43.3% of the vote across British Columbia; Jody Toor took 48.2% here, 4.9 points above that.

Nearby ridings