Langley-Abbotsford

Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, Conservatives would hold Langley-Abbotsford, with 53.7% to 30.9%. That is very likely (98% of simulated elections).

Conservatives55.6% → 53.7%
NDP33.7% → 30.9%

Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: Conservatives by 22.8 points (2024: Conservatives by 21.9). Conservatives win Langley-Abbotsford if their lead province-wide is more than about −19.5 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereConservatives win here2024 result (−1.6)Poll average (+3.3)

Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where Langley-Abbotsford changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Rest of B.C. polling

Langley-Abbotsford is projected from the Rest of B.C. poll average: Conservatives 48.1%, NDP 33.4%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%48%33%

This is a model, not a poll of Langley-Abbotsford: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Rest of B.C. polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2024 election results

Harman Bhangu (CON) won Langley-Abbotsford in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 55.6% of the vote, 5,650 votes (21.9 points) ahead of John Aldag (NDP). 25,770 valid votes were counted.

Harman Bhangu
Elected for Conservative
5,650 voteswinning margin (21.9 points)
Harman Bhangu 55.6%John Aldag 33.7%Melissa Snazell 5.6%Karen Long 4.3%

British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.

Results by candidate

Langley-Abbotsford 2024 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harman BhanguelectedConservative14,341
55.6%
John AldagNew Democratic8,691
33.7%
Melissa SnazellGreen1,434
5.6%
Karen LongIndependent1,104
4.3%
Alex JoehlLibertarian200
0.8%

Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 74th-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 5,650 votes (21.9 points).
  • Conservative candidates won 43.3% of the vote across British Columbia; Harman Bhangu took 55.6% here, 12.3 points above that.

Nearby ridings