Calgary-Klein

Poll projection for the October 18, 2027 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 23, 2026, NDP would hold Calgary-Klein, with 49.8% to 41.2%. That is likely (77% of simulated elections).

UCP46.7% → 41.2%
NDP50.9% → 49.8%

Pale bar: 2023 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: NDP by 8.6 points (2023: NDP by 4.2). UCP win Calgary-Klein if their lead province-wide is more than about +10.7 points; the poll average puts it at +2.1.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereUCP win here2023 result (+8.6)Poll average (+2.1)

Province-wide lead in points (UCP minus NDP). The black line is where Calgary-Klein changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Calgary polling

Calgary-Klein is projected from the Calgary poll average: UCP 44.8%, NDP 45.9%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%20242025202646%45%

This is a model, not a poll of Calgary-Klein: pollsters do not survey individual divisions. It starts from the 2023 result here and moves it by the change in the Calgary polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the Alberta poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2023 election results

Lizette Tejada (NDP) won Calgary-Klein in the May 29, 2023 Alberta general election with 50.9% of the vote, 867 votes (4.2 points) ahead of Jeremy Nixon (UCP). 20,767 valid votes were counted; turnout was 60.5%.

Lizette Tejada
Elected for New Democratic
867 voteswinning margin (4.2 points)
Lizette Tejada 50.9%Jeremy Nixon 46.7%Kenneth Drysdale 1.7%Rob Oswin 0.7%

These are the 87 divisions used in the 2023 election. New boundaries are not yet law: an electoral boundaries commission recommended 89 divisions in March 2026, the government rejected that report in April, and a legislative committee was asked to draw a new map, aiming for 91 seats, by October 22, 2026. This map will be updated once new boundaries are adopted.

Results by candidate

Calgary-Klein 2023 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Lizette TejadaelectedNew Democratic10,564
50.9%
Jeremy NixonUnited Conservative9,697
46.7%
Kenneth DrysdaleGreen353
1.7%
Rob OswinSolidarity Movement153
0.7%

Source: Elections Alberta, Statement of Vote for the 2023 general election, and 2017 electoral division boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 14th-closest race of 87 divisions: a margin of 867 votes (4.2 points).
  • New Democratic candidates won 44% of the vote across Alberta; Lizette Tejada took 50.9% here, 6.9 points above that.
  • Turnout was 60.5%, level with the provincial figure of 60.5%.
  • 34,620 electors were registered; 161 ballots were rejected and 12 were declined.

Nearby divisions