Vancouver-Renfrew
Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election
On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, NDP would hold Vancouver-Renfrew, with 54.3% to 30.3%. That is very likely (98% of simulated elections).
Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.
How close is it?
Projected margin: NDP by 24.0 points (2024: NDP by 32.6). Conservatives win Vancouver-Renfrew if their lead province-wide is more than about +27.3 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.
Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where Vancouver-Renfrew changes hands, assuming every region moves together.
Metro Vancouver polling
Vancouver-Renfrew is projected from the Metro Vancouver poll average: Conservatives 39.9%, NDP 41.7%.
This is a model, not a poll of Vancouver-Renfrew: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Metro Vancouver polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.
2024 election results
Adrian Dix (NDP) won Vancouver-Renfrew in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 63.2% of the vote, 5,656 votes (32.6 points) ahead of Tom Ikonomou (CON). 17,374 valid votes were counted.
British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.
Results by candidate
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Dixelected | New Democratic | 10,983 | 63.2% |
| Tom Ikonomou | Conservative | 5,327 | 30.7% |
| Lawrence Taylor | Green | 1,064 | 6.1% |
Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.
How it compares
- The 76th-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 5,656 votes (32.6 points).
- New Democratic candidates won 44.9% of the vote across British Columbia; Adrian Dix took 63.2% here, 18.3 points above that.
Nearby ridings
- Vancouver-Kensington · Mable Elmore (NDP)
- Vancouver-Fraserview · George Chow (NDP)
- Vancouver-Hastings · Niki Sharma (NDP)
- Vancouver-Strathcona · Joan Phillip (NDP)
- Vancouver-Little Mountain · Christine Boyle (NDP)