Surrey North

Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, Conservatives would hold Surrey North, with 50.3% to 34.4%. That is very likely (92% of simulated elections).

Conservatives50.7% → 50.3%
NDP43.3% → 34.4%

Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: Conservatives by 15.9 points (2024: Conservatives by 7.4). Conservatives win Surrey North if their lead province-wide is more than about −12.6 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereConservatives win here2024 result (−1.6)Poll average (+3.3)

Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where Surrey North changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Metro Vancouver polling

Surrey North is projected from the Metro Vancouver poll average: Conservatives 39.9%, NDP 41.7%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%42%40%

This is a model, not a poll of Surrey North: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Metro Vancouver polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2024 election results

Mandeep Dhaliwal (CON) won Surrey North in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 50.7% of the vote, 1,159 votes (7.4 points) ahead of Rachna Singh (NDP). 15,698 valid votes were counted.

Mandeep Dhaliwal
Elected for Conservative
1,159 voteswinning margin (7.4 points)
Mandeep Dhaliwal 50.7%Rachna Singh 43.3%Sim Sandhu 4.2%Kiran Hundal 1%

British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.

Results by candidate

Surrey North 2024 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mandeep DhaliwalelectedConservative7,954
50.7%
Rachna SinghNew Democratic6,795
43.3%
Sim SandhuGreen662
4.2%
Kiran HundalFreedom Party162
1%
Hobby NijjarIndependent125
0.8%

Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 22nd-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 1,159 votes (7.4 points).
  • Conservative candidates won 43.3% of the vote across British Columbia; Mandeep Dhaliwal took 50.7% here, 7.4 points above that.

Nearby ridings