Mid Island-Pacific Rim
Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election
On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, NDP would hold Mid Island-Pacific Rim, with 45.8% to 39.4%. That is likely (71% of simulated elections).
Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.
How close is it?
Projected margin: NDP by 6.4 points (2024: NDP by 9.3). Conservatives win Mid Island-Pacific Rim if their lead province-wide is more than about +9.7 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.
Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where Mid Island-Pacific Rim changes hands, assuming every region moves together.
Vancouver Island polling
Mid Island-Pacific Rim is projected from the Vancouver Island poll average: Conservatives 32.3%, NDP 43.2%.
This is a model, not a poll of Mid Island-Pacific Rim: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Vancouver Island polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.
2024 election results
Josie Osborne (NDP) won Mid Island-Pacific Rim in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 48.7% of the vote, 2,676 votes (9.3 points) ahead of Adam Hayduk (CON). 28,810 valid votes were counted.
British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.
Results by candidate
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josie Osborneelected | New Democratic | 14,042 | 48.7% |
| Adam Hayduk | Conservative | 11,366 | 39.5% |
| Ross Reid | Green | 3,402 | 11.8% |
Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.
How it compares
- The 47th-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 2,676 votes (9.3 points).
- New Democratic candidates won 44.9% of the vote across British Columbia; Josie Osborne took 48.7% here, 3.8 points above that.
Nearby ridings
- Courtenay-Comox · Brennan Day (CON)
- Ladysmith-Oceanside · Stephanie Higginson (NDP)
- Cowichan Valley · Debra Toporowski (NDP)
- Nanaimo-Lantzville · George Anderson (NDP)
- Nanaimo-Gabriola Island · Sheila Malcolmson (NDP)