Kamloops Centre

Poll projection for the October 24, 2026 election

On The Electorate's poll average as of October 24, 2026, Conservatives would hold Kamloops Centre, with 46.9% to 38.1%. That is likely (78% of simulated elections).

Conservatives48.8% → 46.9%
NDP40.9% → 38.1%

Pale bar: 2024 result. Solid bar: projection. Shares of all votes cast.

How close is it?

Projected margin: Conservatives by 8.8 points (2024: Conservatives by 7.9). Conservatives win Kamloops Centre if their lead province-wide is more than about −5.5 points; the poll average puts it at +3.3.

-10-50+5+10NDP win hereConservatives win here2024 result (−1.6)Poll average (+3.3)

Province-wide lead in points (CON minus NDP). The black line is where Kamloops Centre changes hands, assuming every region moves together.

Rest of B.C. polling

Kamloops Centre is projected from the Rest of B.C. poll average: Conservatives 48.1%, NDP 33.4%.

15%25%35%45%55%65%48%33%

This is a model, not a poll of Kamloops Centre: pollsters do not survey individual ridings. It starts from the 2024 result here and moves it by the change in the Rest of B.C. polling average, so it does not know about candidates, incumbency or local campaigns. See the British Columbia poll average for the method, or open the projection in the interactive map to test your own scenario.

2024 election results

Peter Milobar (CON) won Kamloops Centre in the October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election with 48.8% of the vote, 2,003 votes (7.9 points) ahead of Kamal Grewal (NDP). 25,338 valid votes were counted.

Peter Milobar
Elected for Conservative
2,003 voteswinning margin (7.9 points)
Peter Milobar 48.8%Kamal Grewal 40.9%Randy Sunderman 10.2%

British Columbia votes on October 24, 2026, and all 93 seats are up for election. This map shows the 2024 results, the most recent completed election, on the same 93 riding boundaries. Many MLAs have changed party or sat as independents since 2024, so a riding's colour here is not always its current MLA's party. This page will be updated with the 2026 results once Elections BC publishes them.

Results by candidate

Kamloops Centre 2024 results by candidate
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Peter MilobarelectedConservative12,372
48.8%
Kamal GrewalNew Democratic10,369
40.9%
Randy SundermanGreen2,597
10.2%

Source: Elections BC, official results of the 2024 general election, and the 2023 electoral district boundaries.

How it compares

  • The 33rd-closest race of 93 ridings: a margin of 2,003 votes (7.9 points).
  • Conservative candidates won 43.3% of the vote across British Columbia; Peter Milobar took 48.8% here, 5.5 points above that.

Nearby ridings